Original source: Business2.com
The
Web Within
Us
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Minds
and
machines
become
one.
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December
01, 1999
issue
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Ray
Kurzweil
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By
the second
half of
the next
century,
there will
be no
clear
distinction
between
human and
machine
intelligence.
Two things
will allow
this to
happen.
First, our
biological
brains
will be
enhanced
by neural
implants.
This has
already
begun.
Doctors
use neural
implants
to
counteract
symptoms
of
Parkinson's
disease,
for
instance,
and
neuroscientists
from Emory
University
School of
Medicine
in Atlanta
recently
placed an
electrode
into the
brain of a
paralyzed
stroke
victim who
now
communicates
using a
PC. In the
2020s,
these
neural
implants
will not
be just
for people
with
disabilities,
but will
be used to
improve
our
perception,
memory,
and
logical
thinking,
and even
create
virtual
sensory
experiences.
These
implants
will plug
us
directly
into the
Web. By
2030,
"going
to a
Website"
will mean
entering a
virtual
reality
environment.
Our
implants
will
generate
streams of
sensory
input that
would
otherwise
come from
our real
senses,
creating
an
all-encompassing
virtual
environment
that
responds
to our
behavior.
This
virtual
reality
will be as
realistic,
detailed,
and subtle
as the
reality we
know
today.
Also, we
will have
created
nonbiological
brains,
which will
extend
vastly our
own human
brains.
While our
biological
intelligence
is, for
all
practical
purposes,
at a
standstill,
our
nonbiological
intelligence
is growing
at a
double-exponential
rate.
Computing
devices
have been
consistently
multiplying
in power
from the
electromechanical
calculating
devices
used in
the 1890
U.S.
Census
through
today.
Along the
way
there's
been
exponential
growth in
the rate
of
exponential
growth.
Computer
speed (per
unit cost)
doubled
every
three
years
between
1910 and
1950,
doubled
every two
years
between
1950 and
1966, and
is now
doubling
every
year. By
the end of
the 21st
century,
nonbiological
thinking
will be
trillions
of times
more
powerful
than that
of its
human
progenitors.
There are
many new
technologies
waiting in
the wings
that will
allow this
to happen.
Nanotube
circuits,
for
example,
are
capable of
forming
extremely
dense
three-dimensional
arrays of
computing
elements.
A 1 inch
cube of
nanotube
circuitry
would be
at least a
million
times more
powerful
than the
human
brain.
Other
experimental
technologies
include
three-dimensional
chips,
optical
computing,
crystalline
computing,
DNA, and
quantum
computing.
By 2019, a
$1,000
computer
will match
the
processing
power of
the human
brain —
about 20
million
billion
calculations
per
second. By
2029, your
average PC
will be
equivalent
to 1,000
human
brains.
Reverse-engineering
the human
brain
This
level of
processing
power is a
necessary
but not
sufficient
condition
for
achieving
human-level
intelligence
in a
machine.
The
organization
and
content of
these
resources
— the software
of
intelligence
— is
also
critical.
The most
compelling
scenario
for
mastering
the
software
of
intelligence
is to
reverse-engineer
the human
brain —
to
essentially
copy its
design —
so these
machines
will seem
very
human. And
through
nanotechnology
, they
will have
human-like
— but
greatly
enhanced
— bodies
as well.
Having
human
origins,
they will
claim to
be human,
and to
have human
feelings.
And being
immensely
intelligent,
they'll be
very
convincing
when they
tell us
these
things.
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The
Web Within
Us
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(Page
2 of 3)
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Ray
Kurzweil
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Human
brain
scanning
has
already
started. A
condemned
killer
donated
his brain
and body
to be
scanned,
and you
can access
all 10
billion
bytes of
him on the
Web. We
also have
noninvasive
scanning
techniques
today,
including
high-resolution
magnetic
resonance
imaging (MRI)
scans,
optical
imaging,
and
near-infrared
scanning.
Future
generations
of
scanning
technology
will
enable us
to show
the
connections
between
neurons.
Ultimately
we will be
able to
peer
inside the
synapses
themselves.
The most
viable
approach
to
scanning
the brain
will be to
scan it
from
inside. By
2030,
nanobot
technology
will be
feasible,
and brain
scanning
will be a
prominent
application.
Billions
of bots
could
travel
through
every
capillary
of a human
brain, and
scan every
detail.
The
billions
of
nanobots
would all
be on a
high-speed
wireless
Intranet
allowing
them to
communicate
with each
other, and
with
computers
compiling
the
brain-scan
database.
From this
data, we
will learn
how the
brain
works, and
we'll be
able to
copy the
information
into a
neural
computer.
The
Web as
virtual
reality
arena
The
nanobots
will do
more than
scan the
brain.
They will
also
extend it.
One vital
application
will be
full-immersion
virtual
reality
— a VR
induced by
the
interaction
of
nanobots
with the
brain. We
already
have
electronic
devices
that can
detect and
even
control
the firing
of neurons
—
essentially
creating
two-way
communication
between
electronic
and neural
circuits
(such as
the
"neuron
transistors"
demonstrated
at
Germany's Max-Planck
Institute
for
Biochemistry.
Scientists
have also
demonstrated
that
biological
and
nonbiological
neurons
can work
together
on pattern
recognition
tasks just
like an
all-biological
network.
When we
want to
experience
real
reality,
the
nanobots
do
nothing.
If we want
to enter
virtual
reality,
they
suppress
all of the
inputs
coming
from the
real
senses,
and
replace
them with
signals
appropriate
for the
virtual
environment.
Your brain
would then
send
signals
intended
to cause
your
muscles
and limbs
to move as
you
normally
would, but
the
nanobots
again
intercept
these
interneuronal
signals,
suppress
your real
limbs from
moving,
and
instead
cause your
virtual
limbs to
"move"
while
providing
the
appropriate
movement
and
reorientation
(as well
as sounds
and
tactile
sensations)
in the
virtual
environment.
The Web
will
provide a
panoply of
virtual
environments
to
explore,
and
"going"
to these
Web
environments
will not
require
any
equipment
not
already in
our heads.
Some will
be
recreations
of earthly
places;
others
will be
fanciful
environments
that have
no
"real"
counterpart.
Some would
be virtual
worlds
that seem
to violate
laws of
physics.
Want to
fly? Walk
on walls
like a
spider?
You can,
in this
virtual
world.
We'll be
able to
visit
these
virtual
Web
environments
alone, or
we'll meet
others
there,
people
both real
and
simulated.
Ultimately,
there
won't be a
clear
distinction
between
the two.
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The
Web Within
Us
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(Page
3 of 3)
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Ray
Kurzweil
|
Nanobot
technology
will
expand our
minds in
virtually
any way
imaginable.
Our brains
today are
relatively
fixed in
design.
Although
we do add
patterns
of
interneuronal
connections
and
neurotransmitter
concentrations
as a
normal
part of
the
learning
process,
the
overall
capacity
of the
human
brain is
highly
constrained
(to a mere
hundred
trillion
connections).
Brain
implants
based on
massively
distributed
intelligent
nanobots
will
ultimately
expand our
memories a
trillionfold,
and vastly
improve
all of our
sensory,
pattern
recognition
and
cognitive
abilities.
Of course,
there will
be great
concern
regarding
who's
controlling
the
nanobots,
and over
who the
nanobots
may be
talking
to.
Organizations
such as
governments
or
extremist
groups or
just
clever
individuals
could put
trillions
of
undetectable
nanobots
in the
water or
food
supply.
These
"spy"
nanobots
could then
monitor,
influence,
and even
control
our
thoughts
and
actions.
We won't
be
defenseless,
however.
Just as we
have virus
scanning
software
today, we
will make
use of
patrol
nanobots
that
search for
(and
destroy)
unauthorized
nanobots
in our
brains and
bodies.
Beyond
the 21st
century
Can the
pace of
technological
progress
continue
to speed
up
indefinitely?
Will we
not reach
a point
where
humans are
unable to
think fast
enough to
keep up
with it?
With
regard to
unenhanced
humans,
clearly
so. But
what would
a million
scientists,
each a
thousand
times more
intelligent
than human
scientists
today, and
each
operating
a thousand
times
faster
than
contemporary
humans
(because
the
information
processing
in their
nonbiological,
Web-based
brains is
faster)
accomplish?
For one
thing,
they would
come up
with
technology
to become
even more
intelligent
(because
intelligence
is no
longer of
fixed
capacity).
They would
change
their own
thought
processes
to think
even
faster.
When the
scientists
evolve to
be a
million
times more
intelligent
and
operate a
million
times
faster,
then an
hour could
result in
a century
of
progress.
Once a
species
develops
computing
technology,
it's only
a matter
of a few
centuries
before the
nonbiological
form of
their
intelligence
permeates
the matter
and energy
in its
vicinity,
and then
expands
outward.
Ultimately,
it becomes
capable of
maneuvering
and
controlling
cosmological
forces
through
its
exquisite
and vast
technology,
and
creates
the world
it wants.
What kind
of world
will that
be? Wait
and see.
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